India Maintains top Global Ranking with Maximum Recoveries, Has one of the Lowest Mortality Rates in the world

India Maintains top Global Ranking with Maximum Recoveries

Has one of the Lowest Mortality Rates in the world

Posted On: 03 OCT

India continues to occupy the top global position as the country with the maximum number of recoveries. The total recoveries has crossed 54 lakhs today (54,27,706). It accounts for 21% of the global recovered cases, while its share in the total cases stands at 18.6%.

India has maintained its global position with one of the lowest case fatality rates (CFR) when compared to several other countries.

While the global CFR stands at 2.97% as on date, the comparative figure for India is 1.56%.

The deaths per million population in India is one of the lowest in the world. While the global average is 130 deaths /million population, India is reporting 73 deaths /million population.

 

India’s steady trend of posting high number of daily recoveries continues with 75,628 recoveries registered in the last 24 hours.

Higher number of single day recoveries is also reflected in the continuous increase in the national recovery rate, which is at present 83.84%.

74.36% of the recovered cases in the past 24 hours are from 10 States/UTs. Maharashtra has contributed the highest number to these followed by Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka.

Nearly 77% of the active cases are in 10 States/UTs. Maharashtra is at the lead with more than 2.6 lakh cases.

As on date, the active cases contribute only 14.60% to the positive caseload of the country.

 

For the 12th successive day, India has sustained its steady trend of maintaining the active cases below the 10-lakh mark. The number of active cases today is 9,44,996.

 

79,476 confirmed cases have been reported in the last 24 hours in the country.

78.2% of the new cases are concentrated in ten States/UT. Maharashtra contributed close to 16,000 to the new cases, lower than the day before. Kerala surged to second place with 9,258 new cases while Karnataka reported more than 8000 daily new cases.

1,069 deaths  have been registered in the past 24 hours.

10 States and UTs account for 84.1% of fatalities in the past 24 hours.

39.66% of deaths reported yesterday are from Maharashtra with 424 deaths followed by Karnataka with 125 deaths.

                       

It is good news as well as bad news Sept 29

Today we had less than 70,000 new cases of addition, and 777 deaths daily deaths. But the fear is are we heading for the second wave of COVID-19. This is what exactly happened in the second wave of Spanish flue in US. More people died in the second wave, it was more killing.

so the bottom line is we can not be complacent by seeing this figure.

India has more than two dozen states and population-wise some states are as big as the US or Russia. The population of over a dozen states in India is more than any European country.

So far, we have only seen COVID- spread in Maharashtra, Telangana, Andhra, Tamil Nadu... major populated states have yet to reach its peak. so no need to be complacent, but be extra cautious.

The Theme line is

WE MAY FORGET CORONA, BUT CORONA WOULD NEVER FORGET OR FORGIVE US, DO NOT CELEBRATE THE DECREASE IN CORONA CASES. WE ARE STILL NUMBER ONE IN CORONA INCREASE IN THE WORLD

India see a remarkable decrease in new cases (less than 70,000), daily death came down to 777, and recovery increased by more than 85,000. 

Article on August 1

COVID-19 has finally started its death dance in India.

India's test record could be impressive. But the death rate is still alarming. No doubt, the disease is take its peak in another one month and then the curve would flatten.

Today 54,865 new patients were reported positive. the Death toll has touched 37403 and total infected patients rose to 17.51 lakhs. One reason to be happy is that the active patients are only 5.68 lakhs and it is not giving major stress on health infrastructure in main cities. Though the reports pouring in from Bihar is very disturbing. Here is my article I wrote almost a week ago when testing created a history crossing more than  5 lakh COVID-19 in a single day.

The graded and evolving response resulted in a testing strategy that steadily widened the testing network in the country, and the cumulative testing as on date has crossed 1.73 crore. The Tests Per Million has further improved to 12,562.

The testing capacity of India has received another boost with the induction of three high throughput testing facilities in Noida, Mumbai and Kolkata that were inaugurated virtually by Prime Minister yesterday. The testing lab network in the country is continuously strengthened with 1310 labs in the country; 905 labs in the government sector and 405 private labs. These include:

• Real-Time RT PCR based testing labs: 668 (Govt: 407 + Private: 261)

• TrueNat based testing labs: 537 (Govt: 467 + Private: 70)

• CBNAAT based testing labs: 105 (Govt: 31 + Private: 74)

Total Recoveries continue on an upward trend, cross 9.5 lakh today

India’s Case Fatality Rate (CFR) is progressively falling and currently, it is 2.25%. India continues its march as a country with one of the lowest fatality rates in the world. This achievement is a result of effective implementation of containment strategy combined with house-to-house surveys, aggressive testing and standardized clinical management protocols based on holistic Standard of Care approach which ensured that hospitals were left unburdened with supervised home isolation for the asymptomatic patients.

Under the guidance of Central government, State/UT governments have focused on reducing the fatalities by effectively managing the severe cases and prioritising care of the high-risk population using field health care workers leading to decrease in the CFR across the country. The CFR has reduced from around 3.33% in mid-June to 2.25% today.

The ramped-up three-tier hospital infrastructure along with prompt and seamless patient management has helped consistent increase in the recoveries. For the fifth day in a row, India has seen more than 30,000 recoveries per day. The focused efforts of Centre and State/UT governments on early detection and isolation along with handholding of States/UTs by the expert teams of AIIMS, New Delhi for efficient clinical management of hospitalized cases and periodic visits of central teams, have borne results with continuously improving Recovery Rate.

The Recovery Rate has seen a sharp increase from around 53% in mid-June to more than 64% as on today. With 35,176 patients discharged in the last 24 hours, the total recoveries stand at 9,52,743.

With improving daily recovery number, the gap between the recovered cases & the active cases is also persistently increasing. Presently, it is 4,55,755. This means the actual active caseload is presently 4,96,988 and all are under medical supervision.

Worst Fear is coming true written on July 25

The worst fear has come true. Today India added the highest number of COVID 19 cases in a single day. But this is just a beginning, soon the figure may touch 70,000- 1,00,000 new cases in a single day.

But is it a reason to worry and should one stop his daily routine? The answer is YES as well as NO.

YES: Because one should avoid going out unnecessarily, meeting people and must not party. Take utmost care of ‘social distancing’—this is the only way people saved their lives during the Spanish flu that infected 50 crore people and believed to have killed about 5 crore people during 1918. And a cup of hot water four times a day can prevent COVID-19 TO A GREAT EXTENT.

Secondly, at the same time, people must not panic. The show must go on. The continuous lockdown (right or wrong only time will tell) have already done more harm than good to our economy. The precautionary measures of closing educational institutes, closing religious places and initiating ‘work from home culture’ where it is possible is certainly effective. But this does not mean we should lockdown ourselves in a room and house and wait for COVID-19 to go. Remember, It is going to stay here for a long and we must learn to live with it.

Here are Numbers to prove the point.

Till May 13, 2020, the total number of active cases in India was less than 50,000. Today we are adding 50,000 cases in a single day. Till April 23 the total number of deaths was less than 700, today COVID-19 is killing more than 700 people a day.

Our doubling rate is nearly 20 days (+/- 5 days), which means the number of cases is doubling every 15 to 25 days.

 

These are approx number taken from the world meters website	April 1	May1	June 1	July1	August 1 (Expected)	Sept 1 (expected)	October (expected)
Daily new cases	600	2394	7761	19428	55000	100,000
Daily deaths	23	69	200	438	800	1100
Cumulative deaths	58	1123	5608	17848	Approx 35,000	80,000 (approx)
COVID-19 reported cases	1998	37,257	198370	6,05220	Approx 17,00,000	Approx 40,00,000

 

The number speaks for themselves. But there is still good news that our testing capacity has increased in the past five months.

In February/March we had a handful of testing labs all over India, today we are testing (as on July 27) more than 4.4 lakh in a single day. This is no less a figure considering the fact that country like Mexico, which reported 43374 deaths so far (or 729 deaths a day—Highest in the world on July 27), has done only 9.11 lakhs tests so far. Which means the total tests conducted in Mexico during the past six months we are doing it in less than three days.

Government’s Test Track and Treat strategy seems to be working. The politicians are fighting, criticizing and accusing each other. Let them do it that’s is their profession, the fact remains our health infrastructure considering its constrains have performed well.

One cannot and should not expect it to perform better than this. Everything comes with money, and our policymakers have preferred to spend on or defence equipment (to save from our neighbouring countries) than on health to save us from pandemic like COVID-19.

The silver lining in the crowd:

A recent sero-surveillance study conducted in Delhi reveals that as on July 12 more than 23 % Delhi population have been infected with the virus. The survey suggests that by the first week of August half of Delhi would be infected by the virus. Means the worst is almost over for Delhi on July 27 it reported 1142 new cases and cured 2137 cases. Out of the total reported infected cases 1,29,531, more than 1,13,000 people have been cured with the death of nearly 3800 people.

Delhi Model was simple, Test, Tell normal cases to quarantine at home, and stress on those serious to save their lives. Despite being the worst performer, it has improved its performance during the past month.

People in Delhi are limping back to normal and other states must learn from it, how it managed to take U turn in less than a month.

Let normal people stay at home if they have quarantine facilities, educate them and try to provide them best medical advice.

Educate people on a mass scale to take precautions (like drinking hot water every six hours), taking a potion to improve their immunity, and lastly exemplary punishment for those who are violating rules like one state announced a fine of Rs 1,00,000 for not wearing a mask.

 

Remember Only those who do not adhere to precautions may die of COVID-19. It is one of the weakest virus known. Yet it is the most dangerous because it is highly contagious. Do not Panic, Take Precautions is the only mantra to save us.

Accept the fact that CORONA is a reality and would attack most of us in the coming months.. maybe in a month or two or a year…our CHANCES OF GETTING COVID-19 is GREATER  than your imaginations. IT IS GOING TO STAY HERE WITH US for a long and we must learn to live with it.

 

So Do not panic and accept it like we have accepted other diseases on this earth and learn to live with it.

 

GOOD NEWS is that it is not highly killing and only 0.3 % (3 out of 1000) normal Covid-19 patients die of it (if no medicine is developed in the near future).

 

BAD NEWS is it is highly infectious (in fact the most infectious virus known to humankind so far). Since we know of it for just past six-seven months, we have little information about the virus.

HOW DO WE GET COVID-19

To know your enemy you must know how it works.

 

It enters into our body through NOSE, MOUTH (and in some rare cases through eyes), stays in our nasal path, throat and windpipe areas, stays there for nearly four to six hours before it enters our lungs. If it enters into our stomach it would die automatically.

HOW TO PREVENT ITS SPREAD

 Preventing its spread is no rocket science. Understand your enemy and fight it out.

 We know it will enter through mouth and nose, and eyes….SO TRY NOT TO TOUCH IT UNNECESSARILY.

 If you have any internal injury/infection treat it on top priority…. Because otherwise, it may directly enter into your blood.

You know you only touch your mouth, nose and eyes through your hands. SO WASH YOUR HANDS, NOSE AND MOUTH EVERY TWO HOURS (IF YOU ARE OUT OF HOME), AND EVERY SIX HOURS (IF YOU ARE AT HOME).

Try not to invite anybody home or go out to meet somebody until it is important.

Do not stay for more than 30 minutes at any place like shopping….etc. and avoid going to places which are centrally airconditioned.

Use MASK only when it is necessary otherwise it may have an adverse effect. You do not need to put a mask when you are at home… or when you are driving alone.

Avoid Air conditioner at home…and if you are using it, its temperature should not be less than 28 degree Celsius.

WHAT TO DO WHEN YOU GET COVID-19

First think that you are very lucky as it was diagnosed in time. Unfortunately, in 60 -70 % cases people do not get to know of it and keep spreading it to their near and dear ones.

ISOLATE yourself and listen to very light music of your choice (it would relax your brain from tensions) and all your organs would fight against CORONA. FORGET ALL THE WORRIES OF THE WORLD AND ONLY THINK POSITIVE TO CURE YOURSELF. ALWAYS REMEMBER A PERSON WITH TENSION FREE MIND RECOVERS 50 % FASTER THAN A PERSON WITH TENSION UNNECESSARY WORLDLY TENSIONS.

There is no medicine for the disease except drinking hot water every four hours, taking vitamin supplements regularly. India Kada (potion) really helps. 

BESIDES FOLLOWING THE INSTRUCTIONS OF COVID-19 EXPERT DOCTORS, You must be in regular touch with your the family physician or a doctor you trust. Apprise him of every development and REMEMBER YOUR FAMILY PHYSICIAN KNOW YOU FOR AGES, HE KNOWS ABOUT YOUR BODY MORE THAN YOU AND WILL HELP YOU UNDERSTANDING THE TREATMENT GIVEN BY A COVID-19 DOCTOR.

STRICTLY FOLLOW THE PREVENTIVE MEASURES AS MENTIONED. AND FOLLOW ALL THE INSTRUCTIONS GIVEN BY YOUR COVID-19 DOCTOR and family physician...

Keep hygiene, do not entertain even your family members. Do not Panic and try to keep your family calm.

No one GUARANTEE that all these things would save you from COVID-19, but it is also a fact that your chances of entering into THE CLLUB of “COVID-19 DEAD” would reduce substantially.

Ends.