Fiscal Deficit Should not Bother US, says ASSOCHAM President Vineet Agarwal,
Vineet Agarwal, the 40th President of the Indian Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry (ASSOCHAM), is one of the young businessmen who has given a new direction to the country’s industrial transportation sector. A graduate from USA’s leading Carnegie Mellon University, Vineet completed the 'Owner President Management program' (OPM) from Harvard Business School. He is also the founding National President of the Young Leaders Council (YLC) at the All India Management Association (AIMA).
Besides heading the Transport Corporation of India, he had also been
associated with various International Institutes and Industry forums including
the Director of the Young President Organization (YPO). As Managing Director of
the TCI, he transformed the organization towards value-added services in the area of supply chain management
and multimodal logistics. He Spoke to Vijay Thakur, Special Representative, The
Statesman on Industry’s expectation from the government in wake of Covid-19 Pandemic
and what short and long term measures the government should take to bring the
Indian Economy back on the track.
Excerpts
Question:
The entire world is
passing through a very tough phase in the wake of Covid-19 pandemic. India too
has been hit badly because of the pandemic. The government is going to present
its first Union Budget after the pandemic. What are the Industry's expectations
from the Modi Government?
Answer
Union Finance
Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is going to present the the21-22 Budget under
extraordinary circumstances. The entire world is passing through once in a
hundred year kind of crisis. Even the most developed economies are grappling
with the human and economic costs of the global health emergency.
We have proved many
experts from the Western world wrong, who were projecting that India would take
a long time to recover from the pandemic. But in fact, we recovered very fast
and are now stressing about the future.
And a part of the
credit goes to the immediate steps taken by the government including fiscal
incentive to the industry and by giving support to common people by giving
foodgrains. Coming to budget, the entire industry expects that the Modi government would take a bold step to put the economic recovery in the next
gear.
I am of the view that
Union Government should remain at the forefront of the Expense Budget with
increased investment in infrastructure mainly road building, rural
infrastructure, and a special focus on the healthcare sector in public as well
as the private sector. The healthcare sector across the entire value chain,
both in the public and private sectors. Any money spent on infrastructure will
show three times its effect on ground zero.
It is obvious that the
fiscal deficit is going to shoot up. But this is no time to think about the
fiscal deficit. Under the given circumstances, the fiscal deficit of 7-8
percent of the GDP or even higher should not bother us as long as we spend on
the productive sectors. The fiscal deficit numbers should not be compared
with the past, at least for the next couple of years.
Question:
But Do not you think
The government has already taken a series of steps to boost the country’s
economy?
Answer
To a great extent, the
government has already taken several measures to boost manufacturing within the
country, under the ambitious Atmanirbhar Bharat program. Schemes like the
Production Linked Incentives for over a dozen sectors is already attracting
international investors. The industry is expecting that such initiatives will
get more leeway in the Budget.
There is no reason why
India cannot become a global manufacturing hub for electronics, telecom
equipment, something on the line of pharma sectors where we have emerged as a
global leader.
ASSOCHAM has submitted
a detailed presentation to the Finance Ministry on tax and non-tax measures,
the broad expectation is that the consumption-driven demand would get a boost
which would automatically lead to the re-emergence of the private sector investment.
In the meantime, the
government has to do the heavy lifting with help from the Reserve Bank of India.
Sectors like real estate, agriculture, agrochemicals are expected to get a
fillip. Besides, Industry hopes the government would give top priority to the
sectors that have been worst affected by the Covid-19 pandemic mainly sectors
like hospitality, transport, and aviation industry.
Question
Covid-19 has severely
affected the small and medium sector (MSME). What do sops you suggest to bring
MSME sector back on the track
Answer:
While government has
already taken measures to lift the MSME sector, the government should give them
a further lift in terms of regulatory and fiscal support. The schemes like
credit guarantee and mortgage-free loans should be broad-based.
While a lot has been
done to ensure that their bills are paid expeditiously by the PSUs, government
departments, the MSME sector need further cushioning and a liberal banking
regime.
There are indications
that India is moving towards a V-shaped recovery. However, to continue the
industrial growth, we need consumption-led demand to balance supply-side
measures and investment-led demand coming in from the government to create a
multiplier effect.
Question
You said the government should increase investment in the infrastructure sector. Will you
please elaborate it.
Answer
Industry is hoping
that the Finance Minister would significantly raise the budget allocations for
the ministries dealing with infrastructure sector like roads, highways, and
rural development. A big leg-up is also expected in the healthcare sectors
across the entire value chain.
The Rs 110 lakh crore
National Infrastructure Project Pipeline, with projects right across energy,
healthcare, railways, ports, airports, roads and highways, and rural
infrastructure should take India towards a modern and a state of the art
economy.
Increased
infrastructure investments are also coveted as it can help address the urgent
need of job creation, create a multiplier effect in the economy and also
enhance the country’s competitiveness to attract investments.
We expect the industry
and the Government to work in close coordination for sustainable economic
growth. These efforts would need the support of the RBI which has played a
pragmatic role in managing interest rates.
ASSOCHAM is happy that
its long-standing recommendation to create an Infrastructure Bank, to fund
port, road, and power projects, has now gained significance. Such a Bank will
help the country enhance spending on productive assets.
Question
Other than budget what else you expect from the government to
boost growth and demand in the Indian industrial sector.
Answer
One issue that the industry expects from the Modi government is to
rationalize things like GST. There are some sectors, which are asking for the
higher slab as they want higher input credit, at the same time there are some
sectors that want to lower the GST slab since they do not want input credits.
Now the government should rationalize the GST as per industry demand to give
benefits to all. The rationalization of GST would ultimately immediately help
many sectors. Consumption linked demand would also boost up due to the
rationalization of GST. We are very hopeful about these short-term measures.
Ends.